Intact Financial Stock Performance

IFC Stock  CAD 253.50  5.59  2.25%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Intact Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Intact Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Intact Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0575%. Please make sure to check out Intact Financial's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Intact Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Intact Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Intact Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0215
Payout Ratio
0.3827
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
5.32
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Intact Financial Corporation Launches 150 Million Preferred Share Offering - MSN
11/07/2025
2
Does Intact Financial Have Momentum Going Into 2026 - TIKR.com
11/17/2025
3
Intact Financial Shares Gap Up - Heres Why - MarketBeat
12/19/2025
4
2 TSX Giants to Buy for the Next 20 Years - The Motley Fool Canada
01/19/2026
5
How Does Intact Financials Index Debut Shape Its Income Story Ahead of Q4 Results - simplywall.st
01/28/2026
6
Scotiabank Maintained Outperform on IFCZF Intact Financial Corporation Jan 30, 2026 - Meyka
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.6 B
  

Intact Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  26,392  in Intact Financial on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,042) from holding Intact Financial or give up 3.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. Intact Financial is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.2358% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 11% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Intact Financial, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intact Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Intact Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 253.50 90 days 253.50 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intact Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Intact Financial probability density function shows the probability of Intact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intact Financial has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intact Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intact Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intact Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Intact Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intact Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intact Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
252.26253.50254.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
217.17218.41278.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
250.02251.25252.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.554.694.72
Details

Intact Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intact Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intact Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intact Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intact Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
10.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Intact Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intact Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intact Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intact Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intact Financial has accumulated 5.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.27, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Intact Financial has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intact Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intact Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intact Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intact Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Scotiabank Maintained Outperform on IFCZF Intact Financial Corporation Jan 30, 2026 - Meyka

Intact Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intact Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intact Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intact Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.9 B

Intact Financial Fundamentals Growth

Intact Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intact Financial, and Intact Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intact Stock performance.

About Intact Financial Performance

By examining Intact Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Intact Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Intact Financial is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.14 

Things to note about Intact Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intact Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intact Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intact Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intact Financial has accumulated 5.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.27, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Intact Financial has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intact Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intact Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intact Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intact Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Scotiabank Maintained Outperform on IFCZF Intact Financial Corporation Jan 30, 2026 - Meyka
Evaluating Intact Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intact Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intact Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intact Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intact Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intact Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intact Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intact Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intact Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intact Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intact Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Intact Stock

Intact Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intact Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intact with respect to the benefits of owning Intact Financial security.